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The next 100+ years | AI reporter’s notebook | Partner news

Tuesday, August 20, 2024
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Welcome to your teched-out world, baby

A baby was born today. Smart machines have watched over the little bundle of joy practically since conception—and will be an omnipresent part of his or her life for decades to come. What can we tell this individual their life will be like?

Science writer Kara Platoni asked the question on behalf of MIT Technology Review. She got more than a dozen tech experts to guide our hypothetical 1-day-old through the next 125 years of technological evolution. Why 125? Because hopes are high for extended life expectancies. And because 2024 is the 125th anniversary of the periodical’s launch.

“[T]he biggest change in your lifetime will be the rise of intelligent agents,” Platoni and experts offer on Day 1. “Computing will be less like a tool and more like a companion. It will learn from you and also be your guide.”

Here are excerpts from the panel’s advisements and projections over the course of the newborn’s life.

2024 to 2034 (Age 0 to 10)

Baby, your primary school will certainly have computers, though we’re not sure how educators will balance real-world and onscreen instruction. But school is where you will probably meet your first intelligent agent, in the form of a tutor or coach.

‘Your AI tutor might guide you through activities that combine physical tasks with augmented-reality instruction—a sort of middle ground.’

2040 (Age 16)

You’ll likely still live in a world shaped by cars: highways, suburbs, climate change. But some parts of car culture may be changing. Electric chargers might be supplanting gas stations.

‘And just as an intelligent agent assisted in your schooling, now one will drive with you—and probably for you.’

2049 (Age 25)

By your mid-20s, the agents in your life know an awful lot about you. Maybe they are, indeed, a single entity that follows you across devices and offers help where you need it. At this point, the place where you need the most help is your social life.

‘[M]aybe you will date an entirely virtual being. Or you’ll go to a virtual party, have an amazing time—and then later realize that you were the only real human in that entire room. Everybody else was AI.’

2059 (Age 35)

Baby, perhaps now you have your own baby. The technologies of reproduction have changed since you were born. For one thing, fertility tracking will be way more accurate—like weather forecasts.

‘For another, you may have a baby-handler device—a late-night soothing machine that rocks, supplies pre-pumped breast milk, and maybe offers a bidet-like cleaning and drying situation. This may be your own baby’s first experience of being close to a machine.’

2074 (Age 50)

Now you are at the peak of your career, Baby. You might start the workday by lying in bed and checking your messages—on an implanted contact lens.

‘Virtual agents can mimic your voice and mannerisms. Why not make one go to meetings for you?’

2099 (Age 75)

If getting from point A to point B is becoming difficult, maybe you can travel without going anywhere.

‘You may have a brain-machine interface that lets you change your surroundings at will. You think about, say, a jungle, and the wallpaper display morphs. The robotic furniture adjusts its topography so you can sit on a boulder or lie down on a hammock.’

2149 (Age 125)

There is perhaps one last thing to try—another AI. You curate this one yourself, using a lifetime of digital ephemera: your videos, texts, social media posts. It’s a hologram, and it hangs out with your loved ones to comfort them when you’re gone.

‘It won’t exist forever. Nothing does. But by now, maybe the agent is no longer your friend. Maybe, at last, it is you.’

There’s more. Read the rest.

 

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Industry Watcher’s Digest

Buzzworthy developments of the past few days.

  • When a hacker breaches a business, the usual break-and-entry point is a hole opened by a phishing scam. AI can help employees practice not taking the bait. “[T]hink fire drills for your business continuity and disaster readiness programs,” explains subject matter expert Marc Haskelson in a piece posted by HIPAA Journal. “These ‘cyber fire drills’ also help management identify strengths and weaknesses in security processes, allowing them to allocate resources appropriately.” The principles apply to hospitals and health systems as well as commercial concerns. Read the whole thing.
     
  • Governmental oversight of AI is happening at the state level. This year, Utah, Florida and Colorado turned nagging concerns into official actions. The Foley & Lardner law firm names the resulting regulations as models by which stakeholders elsewhere can prepare for federal oversight to come. “As such, companies [and healthcare organizations] are left with the opportunity to model standards for ethical and safe uses of AI and early adopters can act now to help influence AI policy,” the post’s authors write. They’re summarizing discussions from a summit held in July. Read the rest.
     
  • The Ant Group is looking to muscle up its healthcare AI. Ant is a fintech affiliate of Alibaba, which was co-founded by the Chinese multibillionaire Jack Ma. It’s seeking to acquire Haodf.com, a Chinese online healthcare platform that, among other things, provides virtual visits with real doctors. Benzinga has a few more details.
     
  • The cost to develop a drug, get it approved and bring it to market often lands well north of $2 billion. As drug development is one of the most anticipated use cases for AI in healthcare, hopes are high that the technology will accelerate the process and lower the costs. This week Information Week looks at what’s involved. “As the drugs themselves progress toward and through the trial stage, the information gathered along the way can be organized by AI as well, identifying patterns that humans might not notice and potentially reducing redundancies and procedures that may lead to dead ends,” reports freelance writer Richard Pallardy. “This frees researchers from laborious analysis and gives them time to engage in real-world lab work that can then itself be fed back into the models.”
     
  • An astronomer has invented an AI-powered medical device. Joseph Carson, PhD, came up with the tool, which helps screen for cervical cancer, by applying principles used in space exploration. “Once inserted into patients, Carson’s colposcope captures dozens of snapshots of a cervix,” the Post and Courier of Charleston, S.C., reports. “Artificial intelligence technology from NASA telescopes helps transform those images into what Carson calls a ‘topographical map.’ That 3D rendering helps doctors identify and treat cervical cancer.” Photos of the device and the rest of the story are here.
     
  • How could AI go wrong? Let us count the ways. The number starts at 700 and is likely to go up. All are itemized in the AI Risk Repository, which was compiled by a group at MIT’s Computer Science AI Laboratory (aka CSAIL). Describing the resource, MIT Technology Review says the most common risks center around AI system safety and robustness (76%), unfair bias and discrimination (63%) and compromised privacy (61%). “Less common risks tended to be more esoteric, such as the risk of creating AI with the ability to feel pain or to experience something akin to ‘death.’” Get the rest.
     
  • The G7 is to hold a 10-day conference on AI in healthcare. Representatives from the group’s seven member countries—Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the U.K. and the U.S.—will discuss various clinical use cases. They’ll also air out differing opinions on the benefits, challenges and implications of the use of AI in healthcare. It’ll all happen in the seaport city of Ancona. Learn more here.
     
  • ‘We’re going to be a combination of our natural intelligence and our cybernetic intelligence, and it’s all going to be rolled into one.’ These are the words of the futurist and AI scientist Ray Kurzweil, whose latest book dropped this summer. He’s talking about the singularity, of course. He didn’t invent the concept, but his 2005 book The Singularity Is Near did a lot to popularize it. His new follow-up, The Singularity is Nearer, takes his thinking a step further. Making the singularity possible, he tells the Guardian in a recent interview, “will be brain-computer interfaces which ultimately will be nanobots—robots the size of molecules—that will go noninvasively into our brains through the capillaries. We are going to expand intelligence a millionfold by 2045 and it is going to deepen our awareness and consciousness.”
     
  • Recent research in the news:
     
  • Funding news of note:
     
  • From AIin.Healthcare’s news partners:
     

 

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