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Thursday, June 13, 2024
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US healthcare is flush with venture investments in AI: Silicon Valley Bank report

The past five years have been boom times for AI startups courting venture investors in healthcare, and the good times just keep rolling. Presently one of every four dollars chasing ROI in the sector goes to companies with AI in their wheelhouse.

And that’s a lot of dollars. This year is expected to see more than $11 billion of venture capital invested in healthcare AI—up from $7.2 billion in 2023.

The figures are from a new report by Silicon Valley Bank, which further finds AI deal activity growing faster in healthcare than in tech overall.

The report notes that much fanfare attends healthcare AI’s capabilities in drug discovery and therapeutics. However, the authors point out, most investment activity suggests expectations are no less great for AI adding value to other aims.  

Here are four key observations from SVB vice president Raysa Bousleiman and co-authors as presented in an executive summary.

1. Administrative applications are fast out of the gate.

The initial wave of AI in healthcare—2019 to the present—is largely focused on streamlining administrative burdens like managing revenue cycles, establishing data interoperability and scheduling patients, SVB reports.  

Administrative AI accounts for 27% of AI healthcare investment and 42% of deal volume so far in 2024, Bousleiman and co-authors show. Meanwhile, they add, clinical AI “faces more scrutiny due to regulatory hurdles and more difficult adoption, often requiring a workflow change to implement.” More:

‘For providers and payers, it’s still early days for their AI strategies. Many are targeting administrative AI first since it carries less risk and leads to clear efficiency gains.’

2. Healthcare AI startups that tout technical impressiveness over operational value will struggle.

And that’s to find not only investors but also customers. By the same token, companies that can leverage a provider’s existing infrastructure in their new product “may find preference” among venture capitalists, the authors write. For example, 70% of U.S. providers use Epic for electronic health records, and AI companies in the EHR space “may find themselves with a leg up” if they establish interoperability with the Epic system.

“It’s not enough for companies to be the ‘shiny AI object,’” the SVB experts observe. “Rather, near-term financial validation and access to quality input data are crucial.” More:  

‘While AI deal activity is relatively resilient compared to the wider ecosystem, investors and buyers are critically evaluating new AI solutions by determining how readily they’ll be adopted and how much business value they truly offer.’

3. Startups’ flexibility is their strength.

Organizations often favor established players when purchasing AI solutions, the authors underscore. To compete in a crowded landscape, successful startups “clearly articulate why they’re the better choice compared to larger competitors that organizations may already have as partners.”  

“Massive adoption and margins are not as crucial for startups as they are for established big tech,” the authors point out. “Also, the bottom-up nature of startups makes them suitable for working closely with physicians.” More:

‘In order to access the necessary data, AI startups often find it beneficial to co-develop features with their customers.’

4. Startups selling AI-enabled diagnostic tests may strain to make the juice worth the squeeze.

Challenges in this category abound, SVB notes, and the troubles range from navigating regulatory hoops to managing high costs and securing quality data.

“For startups, being nimble is important for finding alternative paths, such as risk sharing, monetization and profitability,” Bousleiman and co-authors write. “Demonstrating the cost savings for payers may help companies get the revenue to justify costs until payers broaden their perspective on paying for diagnostics.” More:

‘We believe the short-term path forward is for companies to understand who is writing the check and how payers define value.’

Preview or download the report here.

 

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Industry Watcher’s Digest

Buzzworthy developments of the past few days.

  • The Netherlands needs 1 in 4 workers to work in healthcare. But only 1 is available out of every 6. No wonder the Dutch are looking at AI and imagining what it might do to help compensate for the shortfall. The point came up in a discussion held in the nation’s capital June 9. The event was hosted and covered by the Washington Diplomat with co-sponsorships from Kaiser Permanente, Glass Health and Microsoft. Among the presenters was Godfrey Xuereb, Malta’s ambassador to the U.S. “Very few people can grasp the long-term effects of noncommunicable diseases,” Xuereb said. “Talk to a 16-year-old and say, ‘You know, if you eat unhealthy now, when you’re 50 you might have diabetes.’ Predictive analysis is a very strong tool in disease prevention.”
     
  • Healthcare payers seeking the biggest bang for their AI buck should apply the tech to three domains. These are sales and marketing, utilization management (including prior authorization) and IT. Less impactful are algorithms tuned to care management, risk accuracy and network design and contracting. McKinsey lets the numbers do the talking on these and more findings in a report released June 5.
     
  • The threat of AI hallucinations mucking up patient care is very real—and readily avoidable. All users have to do is ensure human oversight, use observability tools, promote awareness, improve data accuracy and foster collaboration. OK, that’s a lot. But those who take the time to chunk it up and delegate it into five discrete sub-projects can pull it off. And given the stakes, pull it off they must. AI expert Shashank Agarwal offers tips in Forbes.
     
  • Healwell AI is laying out the equivalent of $24.5 million to acquire VeroSource Solutions. Healwell AI’s products deal with preventative care, VeroSource’s with secure integration of multi-sourced health data into a single cloud-based platform. Both companies are based in Canada. Healwell expects the move to speed its pursuit of early disease detection, according to an announcement (which includes details on the deal’s sophisticated finances).
     
  • In similar manner, Evolent is acquiring ‘certain assets’ of Machinify. The assets at hand are geared toward helping payers use AI to manage prior authorizations. Evolent, which specializes in supporting care of patients with complex conditions, wants to use the incoming tech to “leapfrog standard industry processes” involved in prior auth. Evolent plans to let the software help increase first-pass approvals while “streamlining manual data collection and analysis associated with complex medical decision-making.” The announcement offers some particulars but doesn’t disclose financial details.
     
  • Over in the education sector, students have a more nuanced perspective on the ethics of generative AI than you might expect. An education researcher who conducted focus groups with students as well as teachers tells Education Week that high-schoolers don’t see AI as the technological equivalent of a classmate who can write their papers for them. “Instead, they use AI tools for the same reason adults do—to cope with a stressful, overwhelming workload,” EW reporter Alyson Klein writes. And, contrary to popular suspicion, most are not using generative AI for “wholesale plagiarism.” That’s what they’re telling education researchers conducting focus groups on AI ethics, anyway. For now let’s take these representative students at their word, shall we? After all, today’s earnest teenagers are tomorrow’s healthcare professionals. Before you know it, we’re all going to have to trust their AI ethics as well as their scientific skills.
     
  • A man dying of cancer is building an interactive AI version of himself. He’s not doing this as a stay against mortality. He’s doing it for the wife he’ll be leaving behind. After he’s gone, she’s going to want to ask the avatar questions to which only her late husband would know the answer. She says so herself. NPR has the story.
     
  • Recent research newsmakers:
     
  • AI funding news of note:
     
  • From AIin.Healthcare’s news partners:
     

 

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